SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Reims |
33.46% ( 0.14) | 26.44% ( -0.02) | 40.1% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( 0.12) | 52.4% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.1) | 74.08% ( -0.1) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.15) | 29.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.4% ( 0.18) | 65.6% ( -0.18) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( -0.01) | 25.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.41% ( -0.01) | 60.59% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
| 2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 60 |
| 6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
| 7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
| 10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
| 15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 33 |
| R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
| R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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