SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Reims |
33.46% ( 0.14) | 26.44% ( -0.02) | 40.1% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( 0.12) | 52.4% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.1) | 74.08% ( -0.1) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.15) | 29.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( 0.18) | 65.6% ( -0.18) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( -0.01) | 25.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% ( -0.01) | 60.59% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.09% |
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