Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
