This has all of the makings of a very interesting game of football, and Lille are more than capable of winning on Saturday despite their struggles this season. Nice are on a strong run in the league, though, and we are expecting the home team to put another huge three points on the board.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.