SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
44.57% ( 3.69) | 25.7% ( -0.93) | 29.73% ( -2.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( 2.81) | 50.58% ( -2.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( 2.43) | 72.49% ( -2.43) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 3.08) | 22.63% ( -3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.74% ( 4.38) | 56.26% ( -4.37) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -0.49) | 31.19% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.57) | 67.53% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.6)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.84)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -1.1) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.71)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.73% |
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