With neither team having particularly impressed in recent weeks, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. Nevertheless, there can be no doubting that Lille possess the superior quality, something which could shine through at a time when they need to take more risks going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lille
32.77%	28.22%	39%

Both teams to score 46.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.66%

59.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.27%

79.72%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44%

33.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8%

70.2%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Troyes 32.77%

Lille 39%

Draw 28.22%

Troyes	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.77%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.56% Total : 39%