With neither team having particularly impressed in recent weeks, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. Nevertheless, there can be no doubting that Lille possess the superior quality, something which could shine through at a time when they need to take more risks going forward.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
