We said: Lille 1-2 Rennes
Lille's squad suddenly has a fuller feel to it as the trio of Sanches, Botman and Andre return from bans, but a somewhat makeshift XI still needed no second invitation to ease past Nice.
Rennes' ongoing defensive woes on the road is also a welcome statistic for the hosts, but the final third is where Genesio's side continue to excel, and we can only picture Les Rouge et Noir ending the season on top to take the Champions League race right down to the wire.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.