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L
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
R

Lille
2 - 2
Rennes

Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-2 Rennes

Lille's squad suddenly has a fuller feel to it as the trio of Sanches, Botman and Andre return from bans, but a somewhat makeshift XI still needed no second invitation to ease past Nice. Rennes' ongoing defensive woes on the road is also a welcome statistic for the hosts, but the final third is where Genesio's side continue to excel, and we can only picture Les Rouge et Noir ending the season on top to take the Champions League race right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawRennes
40.13% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 26.46% (-0.148 -0.15) 33.41% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.29% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.625 0.63)52.46% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.534 0.53)74.14% (-0.536 -0.54)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.306 0.31)25.69% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.414 0.41)60.61% (-0.416 -0.42)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (0.38199999999999 0.38)29.63% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (0.462 0.46)65.68% (-0.465 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lille 40.12%
    Rennes 33.41%
    Draw 26.45%
LilleDrawRennes
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 1-3 Lille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Monaco
Friday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Lille
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Lens
Saturday, April 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, May 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 St Etienne
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 5-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-3 Monaco
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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