While Saint-Etienne's slender win over Nice last season will provide them with some confidence on Wednesday, Les Verts could be in for a challenging evening against their Champions League-chasing opponents this time around.
Securing all three points is required if they are to move out of the bottom three, but we can only see the Eaglets running away with victory on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
-3.52) 
1.02) 
