Lille have really started to improve of late, going undefeated since the end of October, and so they should have enough about them to beat a side that have struggled to score goals for the majority of the season.
David is likely to get on the scoresheet again, in what we expect will be a close game, given that both teams are in decent form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.2) 
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