SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
29.57% ( -0.2) | 26.48% ( 0.01) | 43.95% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% ( -0.14) | 53.78% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( -0.11) | 75.25% ( 0.11) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.22) | 32.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.24) | 69.54% ( 0.24) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.03) | 24.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.29% ( 0.04) | 58.7% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.94% |
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