Nice seem to have too many distractions in the early going of the new campaign, which has affected their play as they look disorganised while also lacking chemistry.
Lille may look a little suspect at the back, but they are in fine form in the attacking third, and we expect their individual quality will carry them through on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nice had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
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