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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
L
Troyes
1 - 1
Lille
Lopes (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakite (52')
Andre (15'), Gudmundsson (26'), Gomes (32'), Ounas (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-2 Lille

Of course, Troyes will be desperate to give their fans something to cheer about on the final day of the campaign, having failed to win any of their previous 20 league matches, but Lille are expected to heap more misery on the relegated outfit while securing Europa League football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawLille
11.4% (-1.299 -1.3) 17.87% (0.327 0.33) 70.73% (0.971 0.97)
Both teams to score 48.18% (-5.538 -5.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.056 -5.06)41.92% (5.055 5.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-5.282 -5.28)64.32% (5.282 5.28)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.9% (-5.459 -5.46)46.1% (5.457 5.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2% (-4.566 -4.57)81.8% (4.564 4.56)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-1.111 -1.11)10.61% (1.11 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-2.55 -2.55)34.41% (2.549 2.55)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 11.4%
    Lille 70.72%
    Draw 17.87%
TroyesDrawLille
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.311 0.31)
2-1 @ 3.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.4%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.315 0.32)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.031 1.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.645 -0.65)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.87%
0-2 @ 12.3% (1.61 1.61)
0-1 @ 10.97% (1.883 1.88)
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 9.2% (0.811 0.81)
1-3 @ 7.13% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-4 @ 5.16% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 4% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.642 -0.64)
0-5 @ 2.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.79% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 PSG
Sunday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Nice
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 Lille
Sunday, May 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lille
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, April 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Lille
Saturday, April 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

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