Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Brest had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.