Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 19.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
