Rennes' victory earlier in the campaign was impressive and will certainly give PSG and Pochettino pause for thought, but they are on an impressive unbeaten run for a reason. Messi appears to be finding his feet in France and Mbappe shows no signs of slowing down. The hosts often concede and we suspect that may be the case again on this occasion, but we are backing them to score more and take all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.