While Montpellier have fared well enough on home soil this term, Reims have been unable to make much of an impact on the road - winning just four of 16 away matches and scoring at a rate of less than one goal per game.
With little to divide them in terms of form or position in the Ligue 1 pecking order, that advantage could be the deciding factor which sees the home side end their winless run against Sunday's visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Reims had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.