Saint-Etienne are in desperate need of the three points to boost their survival hopes, and we believe that the home side will triumph here. Reims do not have an awful lot to play for in their final two games, but the same cannot be said for Saint-Etienne, who are currently in the relegation playoff spot.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Reims had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
