Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
