SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 2-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.8% ( -0.03) | 14.43% ( -0.12) | 75.77% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0.56) | 29.63% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.67) | 50.75% ( -0.66) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.45% ( 0.35) | 40.55% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.85% ( 0.32) | 77.15% ( -0.31) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.51% ( 0.16) | 6.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.41) | 24.26% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.8% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.43% | 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 8.97% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.3% Total : 75.77% |
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