Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Troyes |
54.67% | 24.54% | 20.78% |
Both teams to score 48.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% | 52.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% | 74.55% |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% | 19.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.95% | 51.04% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.77% | 40.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.14% | 76.86% |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.78% |
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