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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
LL

Rennes
0 - 1
Lens


Doue (27'), Bourigeaud (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Openda (31')
Danso (45+1'), Thomasson (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Angers
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 1-1 Lens

With both sides challenging for European football, we expect Rennes and Lens to play out a tight draw at Roazhon Park, where the hosts have lost just three of their 14 league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.

Result
RennesDrawLens
29.31% (0.159 0.16) 25.21% (0.087 0.09) 45.48% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.288 -0.29)48.7% (0.289 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (-0.262 -0.26)70.81% (0.262 0.26)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)30.53% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.76% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.229 -0.23)21.42% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (-0.356 -0.36)54.43% (0.356 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 29.31%
    Lens 45.48%
    Draw 25.2%
RennesDrawLens
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.085 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 10.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Rennes
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Shakhtar (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Angers
Saturday, March 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-4 Lens
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Saturday, March 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lens
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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