Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.