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PL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2021 at 12pm UK
Parc des Princes
S

PSG
3 - 2
St Etienne

Mbappe (79', 87' pen.), Icardi (90+4')
Kimpembe (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bouanga (78'), Hamouma (90+1')
Neyou (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawSaint-Etienne
61.12%21.4%17.48%
Both teams to score 52.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99%67.01%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88%14.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.25%41.75%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94%39.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22%75.78%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 61.11%
    Saint-Etienne 17.48%
    Draw 21.4%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 6.48%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 61.11%
1-1 @ 10.14%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 5.18%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.48%

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