Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
