With their survival all but confirmed, Clermont may not be fighting for their lives in the same way they were against Montpellier, and, as a result, they may be just outclassed on Saturday.
Knowing they almost certainly need two wins to stand a chance of a top-five finish, Strasbourg should have what it takes to get over the line.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Strasbourg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.
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