SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Clermont |
| 40.16% | 27.21% | 32.62% |
| Both teams to score 49.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% | 55.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% | 76.79% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% | 27.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.47% | 62.53% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% | 31.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.82% | 68.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.62% |
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