In the context of their respective campaigns, this is a huge fixture for both clubs. Metz will feel obliged to make most of the running as they look to take advantage of a winnable fixture, but we feel that Clermont will do enough to earn a potentially-important share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Clermont
40.16%	27.21%	32.62%

Both teams to score 49.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37%

55.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21%

76.79%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86%

27.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47%

62.53%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25%

31.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82%

68.17%

Score Analysis

Metz 40.16%

Clermont 32.62%

Draw 27.21%

Metz	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.62%