While both managers are dealing with an absentee crisis at present, Clermont will certainly be hit harder by their missing players than PSG will, with Pochettino still able to put out a daunting first XI. Les Parisiens have made a habit of winning at home then immediately losing away, but an out-of-sorts Clermont side with a penchant for conceding goals ought to be blown away by the visiting crop this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Clermont win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
18.99%	20.63%	60.37%

Both teams to score 57.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.37%

38.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.07%

60.93%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19%

33.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52%

70.47%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57%

12.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66%

38.34%

Score Analysis

Clermont 19%

Paris Saint-Germain 60.37%

Draw 20.63%

Clermont	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.15% 1-0 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 19%	1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.89% 0-3 @ 6.35% 2-3 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 3.59% 0-4 @ 3.31% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.87% Total : 60.37%