As mentioned, it is the hosts with infinitely more to play for than the visitors. However, Montpellier have a knack for not getting beaten by those towards the bottom of the table - even when they are two goals down with 10 minutes remaining - so we are going with the draw for this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
0.02) 
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