After a minor blip at the Orange Velodrome, Marseille responded in perfect fashion in midweek and should have no problem replicating such a performance against a leaky Troyes backline.
Sampaoli may be forced into some alterations after the long journey back from Baku, but with an enviable array of talent on the bench ready and waiting, a Troyes side low on confidence ought to be humbled.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
