SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 35.99% | 25.28% | 38.73% |
| Both teams to score 56.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% | 47.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% | 25.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.71% | 60.29% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% | 23.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.99% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.73% |
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