Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Qarabag FK |
59.87% | 24.6% | 15.53% |
Both teams to score 39.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.24% | 59.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.95% | 80.05% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% | 19.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% | 52.05% |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.37% | 50.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.91% | 85.08% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Qarabag FK |
1-0 @ 16.26% 2-0 @ 13.12% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.81% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.4% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 2.34% Other @ 2.56% Total : 15.53% |
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