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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
PL

Brest
0 - 2
PSG


Magnetti (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Faivre (37' og.), Mbappe (71')
Herrera (27'), Neymar (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
21.28%22.32%56.4%
Both teams to score 55.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91%43.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51%65.49%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88%34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19%70.81%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9%15.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.35%43.64%
Score Analysis
    Brest 21.28%
    Paris Saint-Germain 56.4%
    Draw 22.31%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.63%
1-0 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.28%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.32%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-1 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 9.21%
1-3 @ 6.24%
0-3 @ 5.8%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.95%
0-4 @ 2.74%
2-4 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 56.4%

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