Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
