Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.09%) and 1-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
