SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Toulouse |
| 33.19% | 28.36% | 38.44% |
| Both teams to score 46.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.24% | 59.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% | 80.05% |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% | 33.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.88% | 70.12% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% | 30.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.74% | 66.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 12.1% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.44% |
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