Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 45.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.11) 
