Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
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