Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
0.56) 
-0.86) 
