Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
