Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Saint-Etienne
25.4% ( 0.04)	27.71% ( 0.02)	46.89% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.63% (

-0.03)

60.38% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48% (

-0.02)

80.52% (

0.03)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

0.02)

39.96% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38% (

0.02)

76.62% (

-0.01)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18% (

-0.04)

25.83% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.06)

60.79% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Bastia 25.4%

Saint-Etienne 46.89%

Draw 27.7%

Bastia	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.37% Total : 25.4%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 13.97% 0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 46.89%