Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
