Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Amiens win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.36) 
0.58) 
