Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.