Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
