Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Niort had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.