SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 45.19% | 28.29% | 26.52% |
| Both teams to score 43.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.32% | 61.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.5% | 81.5% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% | 27.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.26% | 62.73% |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% | 39.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.62% | 76.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.77% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.52% |
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