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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
C

Bastia
1 - 1
Caen

Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 40.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Caen had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
BastiaDrawCaen
40.52%30.87%28.61%
Both teams to score 38.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.48%68.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.73%86.27%
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63%33.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01%69.99%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15%41.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69%78.3%
Score Analysis
    Bastia 40.51%
    Caen 28.61%
    Draw 30.86%
BastiaDrawCaen
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 7.33%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.51%
0-0 @ 13.96%
1-1 @ 13.35%
2-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 30.86%
0-1 @ 12.16%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 28.61%

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