Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Auxerre in this match.