Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Caen had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
