Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.