Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dijon in this match.