Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.28) 
