SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Dijon |
36.43% ( 0.01) | 28.55% ( 0) | 35.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.73% ( -0) | 60.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.55% ( -0) | 80.44% ( 0) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0) | 31.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.01) | 68.01% ( -0.01) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( -0.01) | 32.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.01) | 69.05% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.01% |
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