Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.