Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
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